High-Resolution Weather Modeling and Forestry Smoke:
The Potential for New Problems to Solve

Gary L. Achtemeier, Director,
SHRMC USDA Forest Service

 

Research that places in the hands of land managers accurate smoke management tools must address the smoke problem on the terrain, spatial, and temporal scales that smoke "sees." Observational studies and applications-based modeling at these very fine scales have elucidated a number of scientific questions that theoretical research-based models can answer. There exists the potential for the application of high-resolution weather modeling to validate existing applications smoke models, such as PB-Piedmont, PB-Coastal Plain, and Daysmoke, and to generate new knowledge regarding smoke transport and dispersion.

This presentation focuses on the need for collaboration to use high-resolution weather models (large eddy), atmospheric chemistry models, and cloud models to address three smoke problems. These are 1) erratic plume behavior during daytime - a threat to health and to the continued use of prescribed fire, 2) smoke transport and diffusion near the ground at night - a serious visibility problem for transportation, and 3) "superfog" - a super-dense fog that occasionally forms in smoke and high relative humidity and is present during multiple vehicle pileups.